Policy Memo
Describe quality and credibility of underlying sources, data and methodologies
Express and explain uncertainties associated with major analytic judgments
Judgments are conclusions base don underlying intelligence information, analysis and assumptions.
State key assumptions explicitly and explain implications if assumptions are incorrect.
Identify–as appropriate–indicators that would alter judgments
Systematic evaluation of differing hypotheses to explain events or phenomena, explore near-term outcomes, and image possible futures to mitigate surprise and risk.
Identify–as appropriate–indicators that would affect likelihood of identified alternatives
Demonstrates customer relevance and addresses implications.
If offering multiple judgments, identify main analytic message that draws collectively from all of them.
Judgments supported by evidence and coherent reasoning.
Language and syntax should convey meaning unambiguously.
Internally consistent and acknowledge supporting and contrary information.
Explain changes to or consistency of analytic judgments.
Explain how new information or different reasoning led to different judgments
