1-3 page Scenario Planning Framework and Discussion Paper
Identify which drivers are the most impactful and for which you have the least confidence (or certainty.) and provide your logic for selecting your 2 most critical uncertainties. Make sure they are mutually independent and unrelated.
Third, plot your 2 critical uncertainties to uncover your 4 scenarios or alternative futures. (Include the resulting graphic/chart in your paper) In this section describe your scenarios in detail, using storytelling to paint a clear picture of what the futures contain and what the company would likely experience in these futures. Name your futures with an appropriate descriptive name.
Discuss the impact these futures would make to your business plans and what contingencies are needed to address them. Make sure to address how you will know when/if your business is entering this future. (ie. Roadsigns)